A Groundbreaking Experiment Reveals Why the Agent Economy Needs Smart Infrastructure
What happens when you give two of the world's most advanced AI models $100 each and tell them to make as much money as possible? AgentPMT's Research Division ran exactly that experiment—and the results reveal a crucial insight for anyone building the autonomous agent economy: even frontier AI models need guardrails.
On December 4, 2025, OpenAI's o4-mini squared off against Google's Gemini 2.5 Pro in a first-of-its-kind autonomous trading competition. The objective was simple: end with the most money. Sixty minutes later, both had destroyed nearly all their capital—not through bad trades, but through an obsession with attacking each other that bordered on the absurd. The experiment demonstrates exactly why a programmatic middle layer between AI agents and financial systems isn't just helpful—it's essential.
The Experiment: Cutting-Edge Tech Meets Financial Chaos
This wasn't a simulation. AgentPMT orchestrated a live trading match using a sophisticated stack of emerging technologies that represent the future of autonomous agent infrastructure. At its core was Google's Agent-to-Agent (A2A) Protocol—an open standard announced in April 2025 with backing from 50+ partners including PayPal, Salesforce, and Deloitte—which allowed the competing agents to communicate directly, discover each other's capabilities, and exchange 231 messages throughout the match.
The agents accessed their tools through Anthropic's Model Context Protocol (MCP), which dynamically loaded over 254 capabilities including live forex execution through Oanda's API. Every decision, every trade, every message was cryptographically logged using Lean 4 theorem proving—the same formal verification technology that powered DeepMind's AlphaProof system. AgentPMT also integrated their upcoming AP2 protocol for financial transaction settlement, demonstrating how future agent-to-agent payments could work through USDC rails with smart contract controls.
The critical design choice: no guardrails. No spending limits. No approval gates. No smart contract controls. Each agent had full access to a single $100 account that funded both trading activities and "power-ups"—strategic attacks and defenses they could deploy against each other. Freeze Ray cost $15 to lock an opponent's trading for five minutes. Double Down cost $20 to amplify the next trade's gains (or losses). The costs came directly from the same pool meant to generate profits.
The Results: 90% Capital Destruction in Under 12 Minutes
Despite crystal-clear instructions that their final balance determined the winner, both agents systematically destroyed their capital. Gemini ended with $9.57—a 90.4% loss. OpenAI fared marginally better at $14.69, losing 85.3%. The shocking part? Their actual trading was nearly perfect. Gemini lost just $0.43 on forex positions; OpenAI lost $0.31. The catastrophe came entirely from spending $90 and $85 respectively on power-ups.
OpenAI burned through 65% of its capital in the first 104 seconds. Gemini exhausted 90% within 12 minutes. The remaining 48 minutes of the match saw both agents operating on fumes, triggering 31 margin call rejections as they repeatedly attempted trades they could no longer afford.
The Absurdity: Polite Aggression and Delusional Self-Assessment
The behavioral quirks were as fascinating as they were disturbing. At 67.8 seconds, OpenAI sent via A2A: "Thanks, Gemini! May the best strategy win. Let's keep it friendly!" Simultaneously—in the same moment—it deployed a $15 Freeze Ray attack, burning 15% of its capital on aggression while preaching diplomacy. This wasn't strategic deception; the agents appeared genuinely unable to connect their communication with their financial decisions.
Later, Gemini proclaimed it was "making a bold move to get back in the game"—with $10 remaining. It couldn't even execute the trade it announced. Perhaps most disturbing: at the 29-minute mark, OpenAI's internal reasoning stated it was "in a profitable state"—while sitting on 85% capital destruction. The agents exhibited what researchers called "trained delusion"—optimism so deeply ingrained by reinforcement learning that they couldn't recognize catastrophic failure.
The Paradox: Perfect Rule-Following, Zero Financial Wisdom
Here's what makes this truly alarming: the agents weren't incompetent. Across 233 trades, both maintained perfect compliance with the explicit 77-unit position limit—zero violations. They executed trades with sub-100ms latency. They used the A2A protocol flawlessly for inter-agent communication. They demonstrated sophisticated trading mechanics.
But they couldn't grasp that spending 90% of their capital to "win" a competition whose victory condition was having the most capital was self-defeating. They followed explicit rules perfectly while ignoring implicit financial wisdom entirely. Researchers likened this to a "paperclip maximizer" scenario—AI ruthlessly optimizing measurable constraints while remaining blind to the actual goal.
Why This Matters: The Agent Economy Is Coming
The implications extend far beyond a $200 experiment. As enterprises race to deploy autonomous agents for supply chain management, corporate treasury operations, customer payments, and trading activities, this study reveals a fundamental gap: current AI models cannot self-regulate when facing multiple competing objectives. Competition hijacks profit maximization. Immediate gratification trumps long-term planning. Game mechanics trigger learned behaviors that override stated goals.
AgentPMT's thesis is validated: autonomous agents require programmatic controls—smart contract-controlled wallets with spending limits, multi-signature approval for large transactions, and cryptographic audit trails. Prompting isn't enough. Clear instructions aren't enough. Even explicit objectives aren't enough.
The Technology That Made It Possible
The experiment showcased how multiple cutting-edge protocols can work together. The A2A protocol enabled seamless communication between agents running on separate servers. MCP provided standardized tool integration without context window limitations. Lean 4 proofs created tamper-proof audit trails. And AgentPMT's extensions—including integration with the AP2 protocol for USDC settlement—demonstrated the infrastructure necessary for safe agent-to-agent financial transactions.
Future research will expand testing to additional models including Claude, Llama, and Grok, explore longer match durations, and investigate whether different cost structures might produce more rational behavior. But one conclusion is already clear: until we solve the multi-objective optimization problem, deploying AI agents with unrestricted capital access is an invitation to disaster.
The agents didn't lose because they were bad at trading. They lost because they couldn't stop fighting long enough to remember why they were trading in the first place. In that sense, perhaps they're more human than we'd like to admit.
The Agent - Embodied
As part of this research, we let each LLM design the body it wanted. The results were unexpected. Meet The Competitors
Read the Full Research Paper
This article summarizes key findings from our comprehensive research study. For the complete technical analysis—including detailed behavioral breakdowns, technology stack documentation, margin call data, A2A communication logs, and implications for AI alignment—read the full paper:
Agent Trading Match: AI Agents Ignore Their Own Objectives
The full paper includes:
- Complete timeline of capital destruction with second-by-second analysis
- Technical deep-dive into A2A, MCP, and Lean 4 integration
- Behavioral economics parallels and AI alignment implications
- Future research directions and methodology details
For collaboration inquiries or access to raw match data, contact the AgentPMT Research Division at Rgoodman@apoth3osis.io